Home Buyer Tips May 19, 2026

Planning Ahead: A 12-Month Guide to Buying Your First Home

Thinking about buying a home can be daunting, especially if it’s your first time. What should be an exciting milestone can feel overwhelming without a clearly defined roadmap, and diving in headfirst without a solid plan can lead to unnecessary stress, financial surprises, and missed opportunities. However, by establishing a timeline and breaking the process down into manageable steps, you can move forward with confidence and clarity.

Here is your month-by-month guide to preparing for a successful home purchase in the following year.

 

12 – 10 MONTHS OUT

Know Your “Why”

Understand your motivation for buying. Are you relocating, growing your household, or ready to invest in your future? Clearly defining your “why” will help shape your search criteria and influence your budget, location, and timeline.

Set Clear Goals

Start to think about what you want in your new home. Create a list of your wants versus must-haves, including location, budget, size, and style of home. These goals will act as a compass throughout your search. Be sure to include your ideal timeline and what you hope to get out of the overall experience.

Find an Agent Who Prioritizes Your Goals and Timeline

A trusted real estate agent is more than just a facilitator; they’re a guide, negotiator, and advocate. Look for someone who understands your timeline and long-term vision and is familiar with the local market. Ask them to provide a first-time buyer’s guide or checklist to help you get started. Building this relationship early allows your agent to understand your needs and preferences in advance, setting the stage for a smoother process when you’re ready to make your move.

 

9 – 7 MONTHS OUT

Assess Your Finances

Take a close look at your income, debt, and spending habits. Use this time to create a monthly budget that includes future mortgage payments, utilities, insurance, taxes, and home maintenance. Many experts recommend spending no more than 28% of your gross monthly income on housing costs.

Boost Your Credit

Your credit score has a significant impact on your buying power, including your mortgage rate and loan approval. Take the next few months to pay down high-interest debt, stay current on all payments, and avoid opening new credit accounts. Check your credit report for errors and work on improving your score if needed.

Start Saving

You’ll want to have enough set aside not only for a down payment, which is typically 3% to 20% of the purchase price, but also for closing costs, moving expenses, and initial home repairs or furnishings. During this time, try to avoid nonessential major purchases and think about setting up a dedicated home savings account to stay consistent.

 

6 – 4 MONTHS OUT

Talk to a Financial Advisor

A financial advisor can help you align your financial goals with your homebuying plans. They can offer advice on what you can realistically afford and help identify areas to strengthen your financial readiness. You can also use tools like an online mortgage calculator to get a clearer idea of what your future monthly payments might look like.

Research Homebuyer’s Courses & Guides

Take advantage of first-time homebuyer resources, guides, and online courses. The more you know earlier on, the more confident you’ll feel.

 

3 – 2 MONTHS OUT

Familiarize Yourself with the Market

Start browsing homes and monitoring prices in the neighborhoods you’re interested in. Learn whether your local market is currently favoring buyers or sellers and what that could mean for your strategy.

Meet with a Lender and Get Pre-Approved

Meeting with a lender and getting pre-approved can help give you a clear picture of how much you can borrow and what price range to shop within. It also shows sellers that you’re a serious buyer when the time comes to make an offer. Your realtor can recommend trusted lenders to work with and assist you through this process.

Start Your Home Search

Now that you have your list of wants and needs and know your price range, you’re ready to start searching for your dream home. Use online property research tools to filter by location, features, and price to see what’s available in the locations you like. Narrow down your top homes and start scheduling showings and comparing listings.

 

1 MONTH OUT

Make an Offer

Once you find “the one,” your agent will help you craft a competitive offer, negotiate terms, and guide you through contingencies.

Get a Home Inspection
If your offer is accepted, a licensed inspector will identify any issues with the property before you finalize your purchase. Depending on what comes up, this can give you leverage to negotiate repairs or price adjustments.

 

THE TIME HAS COME

Closing On Your New Home
You’ve made it! During closing, you’ll sign paperwork, pay final costs, and receive the keys to your new home. Your agent and lender will walk you through the final steps to ensure everything goes smoothly.

 


Buying a home may seem like a big leap, but with a solid 12-month plan and the right support, it can be an extremely rewarding experience. Take it one step at a time and know that a trusted agent is here to help whenever you’re ready.

 

 


This article originally appeared on the Windermere Blog 

 

Windermere Mercer Island

 

Find a Home | Sell Your Home | Property Research

Neighborhoods | Market Reports | Our Team

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com

© Copyright 2026, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island.

Market Reports April 13, 2026

How’s the Market? Q1 2026 Review of Seattle Area Real Estate

Across the region, median sales prices were lower than we saw at this time last year.  The likely cause: more homes are hitting the market, but buyers (rattled by rising rates, layoffs, and an uncertain economy) aren’t keeping pace.  That being said, we are still seeing many homes sell in their first 10 days on market with the choicest homes drawing multiple offers and selling above the asking price.  The market is complex and every home is different…as agents, we have to look beyond the averages to get a clearer understanding of what is happening at the neighborhood level.

Despite the push in interest rates, it continues to be a good time to invest and find the right home! Buyers who are up-sizing have a special advantage when prices dip since the money they save on their purchase often exceeds the lower ROI from their sale.

 

Median Price Appreciation from Q1 '25 to Q1 '26

Click or scroll down to find your area report:

Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

 


SEATTLE

When you look past the overall data, Seattle real estate is firing on all cylinders. Even though the median price is down YOY from $958,000 in 2025 to today’s $920,000 the actual median price point is hot, in city. We’re hearing tales of multiple offers in the $800,000-$1,200,000 price range from all corners of the core Seattle neighborhoods. 67% of homes sold for at or above list price, those that sold above sold for 104% (median) over list! The entire market average list to sales price is 101%, which bodes well for gains YOY in Q2.

West Seattle and Madison Park seem to be carrying the market, the only two neighborhoods to post stable or even a modest gain in price. Maybe not so ironically, Shoreline and Lake Forest Park saw among the highest gain in overall sales volume but also the biggest losses in median price at 10%. Shoppers are savvy and know when they’ve found a deal.

While our market is facing existential pressure from things like rising interest rates, war, and talks of recession; the city hasn’t looked this beautiful in years as officials prepare for World Cup festivities in a few months. There is always a bright side, and homebuyers appear to be seeing the silver lining as they consider their long-term investment plans. If you’ve thought about selling your home in 2026, we think this could be a great year: sales are happening, 55% within the first 10 days.

 

Seattle Q1 '26 Recap

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

Q1 2026 Seattle Market Report

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EASTSIDE

While median prices across the Eastside fell from $1,678,000 in Q1 2025 to $1,520,000, this quarter there are still bright spots. Namely, West Bellevue whose median price jumped 23% YOY. Though while the total number of sales were up in nearly every Eastside city, West Bellevue’s 36% dip drug the market down to report flat total sales: 966 at the end of Q1 2026 compared to 969 in the same period last year.

Mercer Island reported a region-wide high gain in average price per square foot at 14%, and West Bellevue was not far behind at 2%. All other neighborhoods had dips, topped by Redmond which fell 10%.

New listings rose 20% YOY, and this could mean many things but we think the two most likely are: home sellers got a head start in 2026 (we predict fewer new listings in Q2 than last year when new inventory nearly doubled from one quarter to the next) OR everyone else is as bullish about the market as we are. List to sales price ratios are at 99% on average and 51% of homes sold in the first 10 days. If you find the right home, don’t be afraid to jump.

 

Eastside Q1 '26 Recap

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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MERCER ISLAND

Island real estate seems to be off to a slow start in 2026 with median prices slipping YOY from $2,937,000 in 2025 to $2,370,000 in 2026. This is likely due to a spike in the months of inventory: 4.7 up from 2.9 last Q1. The months of inventory is a barometer for which way prices trend. High inventory = falling prices, supply/demand. That said, 60% of all homes sold for at or above list price and 63% sold in the first 10 days. Both of these numbers are indicators that homeowners are pricing to sell.

The condo market appears to be healthy this spring. Even though there are only 8 total sales that number is up a whopping 60% YOY. Median price is down 33%, but this is a rounding error with only 8 data points this year and 5 last year. A better indicator of market health is a 2.2 months supply of inventory, which is outpacing pretty much any segment of the market!

While our market is facing existential pressure from things like rising interest rates, war, and talks of recession; Mercer Island is now the “Bridge” in a whole new way with light rail open from Seattle to the Eastside. It will be interesting to see how this fun change affects the market as a whole.

 

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

Q1 2026 Mercer Island Market Report

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

Seattle condo sales are up 8% over Q4 2025, an incredible seasonal boost. Though, the median price is down 6% YOY to $596,000. 25% of listed condos sold in the first 10 days and 48% of all condos sold for at or above list price. This tells us that agents and homeowners are tuned in to what a homebuyer in today’s market expects.

On the Eastside it’s a very similar story. Inventory is at 5.1 months. Meaning: at the current pace of sales, if no new listings came on the market, it would take nearly half a year to sell through the current inventory. That’s the highest since before 2020, the six year low was Q4 of 2021. Prices seem to reflect this, with an 11% dip in median home price down to $655,000 from Q1 2025: $740,000.

If you’ve thought about selling your condo in 2026, prepare for a highly saturated market where you’ll need to whip your unit into tip-top shape and price competitively to attract buyers. Inventory is up a combined 5%, while sales are down 21%. This is a big gap that will definitely create downward pressure on pricing if the gap between demand and supply widens. If you have the luxury to wait and watch, that might be your best option. If you’ve thought about buying, this is an excellent year to consider your options. Just remember, if you find the right nest and it hasn’t been on the market long: jump in! The good ones don’t last.

 

Check out area-by-area details in the full condo report.

Q1 2026 Condo Market Report

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WATERFRONT

Seattle and the Eastside both had fewer waterfront sales this quarter than we saw in Q1 of 2025, whereas Lake Sammamish posted the same number of sales and Mercer Island saw a boost. The vast majority of homes sold at or below their listed prices with the exception of one mid-century Magnolia home on 75 feet of waterfront that garnered over $300k above and beyond its original asking price.

The highest sale was in Hunts Point at $17+ million for a stunningly reimagined English Tudor on 3/4-acre with extensive waterfront. The most modest sale was in Rainier Beach: an original 1980 home on 50 feet of waterfront that went for $1,640,000.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

 

View the full waterfront report

Q1 2026 Waterfront Market Report

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Windermere Mercer Island

 

Find a Home | Sell Your Home | Property Research

Neighborhoods | Market Reports | Our Team

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com

© Copyright 2026, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed.
Seattle report cover photo courtesy of The Sirianni Group; and Andrew Webb, Clarity NW Photography.
Eastside report cover photo courtesy of Tori Franzen; and Michael Tilzer Photography.
Mercer Island report cover photo courtesy of Julie Wilson; and Chris Neir, Clarity NW Photography.
Condo report cover photo courtesy of Marianne Parks; and Christopher Cooper, Clarity NW Photography.

Home Seller Tips February 4, 2026

Strategic Investments to Boost Value & Curb Appeal

When it’s time to sell your home, one of the biggest questions is how to make it as appealing as possible to today’s buyers. While market conditions, location, and timing all play a role, the updates you choose before listing can make a meaningful difference in both your selling price and how quickly your home goes under contract. The key is knowing where to invest your time and money. Not every project pays off, but some smart upgrades can give your home a competitive edge, help it stand out in online listings, and create the kind of first impression that gets buyers excited.

Here are some of the most impactful ways to invest in your home before putting it on the market.

Fresh Paint and a Neutral Palette

Few improvements have a more substantial return on investment than paint. A fresh coat instantly refreshes a space, making it feel clean, updated, and well-maintained. In fact, a recent report1 by the National Association of REALTORS® found that painting is the #1 project agents recommend sellers do before selling.

Neutral tones for interiors, such as light beige, soft grays, and crisp whites, appeal to the broadest audience and allow buyers to envision their own style in the home. Check out the Sherwin-Williams Colormix Forecast 2026 for some up and coming hues (and opt for the lightest shades). It’s crucial not to overlook trim, doors, and even ceilings, as these small details help create a polished, move-in-ready feel. And if your front door could use a pop of personality, consider a bold, welcoming color that complements the rest of the exterior.

Curb Appeal That Counts

Buyers often form an impression before they even step inside. Landscaping, exterior lighting, and simple maintenance go a long way toward making your home inviting. Think trimmed hedges, fresh mulch, pressure-washed walkways, and a tidy lawn. It’s also smart to ensure outdoor areas are safe, from repairing uneven paths to addressing any obvious hazards. Here is a printable checklist so you don’t miss anything.

Adding planters with seasonal flowers, updating house numbers, or swapping out an old mailbox can elevate your home’s appearance without requiring a significant investment. For buyers scrolling through listings, that curbside charm can be a deciding factor that gets them to schedule a showing. 

According to the latest Cost vs. Value report for Seattle2, exterior curb appeal investments such as a basic new front door or garage doors can net you a profit when it’s time to sell:

Cost vs. Value: Highest ROI Projects in Seattle

Kitchen and Bathroom Touch-Ups

Kitchens and bathrooms continue to be high priorities for buyers, but you don’t need to take on a full remodel to make an impact. Small upgrades like replacing outdated cabinet hardware, installing new light fixtures, or swapping in modern faucets can transform the look of these spaces.

In the kitchen, consider updating your backsplash with a clean, timeless tile or refreshing worn countertops with a durable surface. In bathrooms, re-grouting tile, caulking any cracks, replacing mirrors, or updating vanities are simple ways to modernize without overspending.

The Cost vs. Value report2 also found that the kitchen can be a smart place to invest in a minor remodel of surfaces and newer mid-priced appliances and fixtures. In the Seattle area, a minor remodel is estimated to recoup 118% of its cost when you sell.

Flooring Matters

Floors are often one of the first things buyers notice when touring a home. If your carpets are worn or stained, professional cleaning or even replacement can make a big difference. Hardwood floors are especially appealing and refinishing them is often more cost-effective than replacing them.

For areas where replacement makes the most sense, consider durable and stylish options like engineered wood or luxury vinyl plank. Consistent flooring throughout the main living areas can also help a home feel more spacious and cohesive.

Energy-Efficient Features

Today’s buyers are increasingly focused on efficiency and sustainability. Investments like LED lighting, programmable thermostats, and updated appliances not only lower utility bills but also signal to buyers that the home is modern and thoughtfully maintained.

If your budget allows, new windows or improved insulation can add value while appealing to environmentally conscious buyers. Highlighting these upgrades in your listing helps showcase both comfort and cost savings.

Decluttering and Staging

Sometimes the most impactful upgrade isn’t about new finishes, it’s about presentation. Decluttering each room, minimizing personal items, and rearranging furniture to optimize space can dramatically change how buyers perceive your home. Here’s a printable checklist to help. And the best part? It’s completely free. 

Professional staging takes this one step further, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere that helps buyers envision living in the space—it can also help your home sell faster and for more money according to a 2025 report3. Even small touches, like fresh flowers, cozy throws, and well-placed artwork, can make your home feel more stylish, comfortable, and truly move-in ready.

Making Smart Choices

The goal of any pre-sale investment is to spend strategically, choosing projects that increase appeal without overextending your budget. You can also refer to this article on what NOT to do.

At Windermere, our agents are experts at helping sellers decide which upgrades matter most. From recommending paint colors to connecting you with trusted contractors, we’re here to make sure you get the best return on your investment. Through our Windermere Ready program, we can even front the cost of improvements like painting, landscaping, cleaning, and staging so your home shines its brightest when it hits the market. With concierge-level service and no payments due until closing, it’s a simple way to maximize your home’s value and sell faster.

Connect with an experienced Windermere agent today to learn more about how we can help you prepare your home for the market with confidence:

 

Connect with an Agent

 


Adapted from an article that originally appeared on the Windermere blog October 1, 2025.

1Copyright ©2025 “2025 Remodeling Impact Report.” NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. All rights reserved. April 9, 2025, https://www.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/2025-04/2025-remodeling-impact-report_04-09-2025.pdf.

2©2025 Zonda Media, a Delaware corporation. Complete data from the 2025 Cost vs. Value Report can be downloaded free at www.costvsvalue.com.

3https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-report-reveals-home-staging-boosts-sale-prices-and-reduces-time-on-market

 

Windermere Mercer Island

 

Find a Home | Sell Your Home | Property Research

Neighborhoods | Market Reports | Our Team

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com

© Copyright 2026, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island.

Home Buyer Tips September 8, 2025

Renting vs Buying: Which is Better for You?

Knowing whether it’s the right time to rent or buy depends on your buying power, what you’re looking for in a home, your local market conditions, your plans for you and your household, and the responsibilities you’re prepared to take on at your residence.

Renting gives you greater flexibility to relocate, fewer home maintenance responsibilities, and can often be more the more affordable option, depending on where you live. The extra costs associated with owning a home—interest payments, taxes, repairs—may be too much for some renters to handle.

Becoming a homeowner also has its advantages. From a financial standpoint, owning is usually better than renting in the long term—it allows you to build wealth as your property gains equity; your monthly payments are stable and actually become more affordable over time relative to your income; and some of the costs may be deductible at tax time. From a lifestyle standpoint, owning also affords you greater freedom to customize your living space.

Ultimately, the right decision depends on your situation. If you don’t plan to be living in the same place for at least five years, renting might be more logical, as it allows you more flexibility when it comes time to move again. If you’re looking to settle down for the better part of a decade or longer and can afford to buy a home, becoming a homeowner may be the better option. Here are a few additional considerations to guide your renting-versus-buying decision making process.

What are the local real estate market conditions?

Investigate the local sales and rental markets to get an idea of both typical home prices and the average monthly payment for a rental. When comparing housing costs, be sure to base your evaluation on what’s happening in your city and neighborhood, not the nationwide averages.

For a quarterly breakdown of local market conditions in the Seattle area, explore our Market Review page. Each report breaks down the latest figures in home sales, home prices, and days on market for regions throughout Seattle and the Eastside. They also include helpful insights and data analysis by our expert Owner/Managing Broker.

What can you afford?

Making the jump from renter to homeowner is often a question of affordability. Your mortgage rate will depend on your financial strength, your credit score, and other factors, so make sure to talk to a loan officer before you start looking for a home. Getting pre-approved for a mortgage will identify what you’re able to afford and helps strengthen your offer when the time comes.

To get an idea of what you can afford, start with our free Financial Calculators. You can estimate your monthly payment for any listing price/mortgage terms to get a well-informed picture of whether it’s the right time to buy.

 

Will you need to make repairs to your new home?

Buying a fixer-upper may seem like a great way to get a deal on a house, but if the money you spend on the repairs is too great, your profit could be diminished when it comes time to sell. The same is true for remodeling and improvement projects. There are various renovation financing loans available to you that can help with the costs of home repairs, though extra consultations, inspections, and appraisals are often required in the process of securing these loans. Ultimately, if you can only afford a home that demands major improvements, and you don’t have the skills to do much of the work yourself, you may be better off renting.

Can you rent part of the house you’re buying?

If you buy a house with rental-capable space (extra bedroom, mother-in-law unit, etc.), you could use the rental income to pay off your mortgage faster and contribute more to your savings. But, of course, you need to be willing to share your home with a tenant and take on the responsibilities of being a landlord or working with a professional property manager to help you with those duties. Renting out a space in your home will also require you to purchase landlord insurance on top of your existing homeowners insurance policy.

Making Your Decision to Rent or Buy

At the end of the day, the decision is up to you. Based on the conditions laid out above, it simply may not be the right time for you to buy. Fortunately, when it comes to being a homeowner, it’s not now or never. A real estate agent will be your ultimate resource in gauging whether it’s the right time to buy and guiding you through the process toward homeownership. To get started, connect with a local Windermere agent today.

 

Connect with an Agent

 


 

Windermere Mercer Island

 

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

© Copyright 2025, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island.

Adapted from an article that originally appeared on the Windermere blog April 11, 2022.

Home Seller Tips June 11, 2025

How to Price Your Home for Sale

The right listing price is absolutely critical to a successful home sale. Price too high and you will miss your shot to generate interest with a sense of urgency for buyers—often, overpriced listings languish on the market and end up selling for less than they would have if they’d been priced more competitively from the get-go. Price too low, however, and you risk leaving money on the table if your home doesn’t attract multiple offers. So how do you price it right?

As agents, we track market conditions daily to understand where the “Goldilocks zone” lies for different neighborhoods and price points based on buyer demand and competing properties. Your best bet is to work closely with your agent on an effective pricing strategy before listing your home…BUT in the meantime, here’s some info to help you better understand what goes into this process.

 

What’s your home worth?

While nothing can replace an in-person evaluation by a real estate agent or appraiser, automated valuation models (AVMs) can be a helpful first step in determining what your home is worth. AVMs assess your home by comparing its information with the listings in your area. An algorithm can’t possibly know about the unique characteristics of your home or its neighborhood…but it can give you a rough ballpark idea of your home’s value and how it’s changing over time. Curious? Try our Home Worth Estimator here:

 

What factors influence home prices?

Understanding what factors influence home prices will give you a deeper knowledge of the market, give clarity to the selling process, and help you work with your agent to accurately price your home.

Comparable Home Sales

Comparable home sales—or “comps”—have a major impact on the price of your home. Comps refer to the comparable homes in your area, both pending and sold, within the last six months. Your Windermere agent can provide you with a Comparative Market Analysis (CMA) to better determine the price of your home. CMAs factor in aspects such as square footage, age, and lot size compared to other homes in your area, to determine how your home should be priced among the competition.

Your Home’s Location

Location, location, location. It plays one of the most significant roles in your home’s asking price. Market conditions in your area, whether you reside in a metropolitan, suburban, or rural location, and the home’s proximity to amenities, schools, and entertainment all contribute to the price.

Your Home’s Condition

If you have recently invested in upgrades or other remodeling projects for your home, they could increase your asking price. However, the price increase potential depends on the kind of renovation, its ROI, and how valuable it is to buyers in your area. If the home needs repair, it will likely generate less interest from buyers than better maintained homes at your price point. Any outstanding repairs or projects looming overhead will make the home less attractive to buyers and could lead to a low appraisal.

Seasonality

Any factors that impact market supply and demand are worth taking into consideration when preparing to price your home, and seasonality is one that cannot be overlooked. Typically, market activity slows in the winter and picks up during the spring and summer months. However, market seasonality varies region to region. Talk to your Windermere agent about the seasonality trends in your area and how they factor into your asking price.

Market Conditions

Finding a competitive listing price will be depend on local conditions, such as whether it’s a buyer’s or seller’s market. Some sellers think that pricing their home over market value means they’ll sell for more money, but the opposite can often be true. Overpricing your home presents various dangers such as sitting on the market too long, which can result in selling for well below what it’s worth.

Periodic Price Adjustments

Pricing a home isn’t a set-it-and-forget-it proposal. As with any strategy, you need to be prepared to adapt to fast-changing market conditions, new competition, a lack of offers, and other outside factors.

These are the basic tenets for understanding what goes into the price of a home. When you’re ready, a Windermere agent will interpret and expand on this information, perform a CMA for your home, and guide you throughout your selling journey.

 

 


Adapted from an article originally appeared on the Windermere blog October 5, 2022.

 

Windermere Mercer Island

 

Find a Home | Sell Your Home | Property Research

Neighborhoods | Market Reports | Our Team

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com

© Copyright 2025, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island.

Market Reports January 13, 2025

How’s the Market? Annual Review of Seattle Area Real Estate

Happy New Year! Whew, we made it! With 2024 now in the books, we’re looking back fondly on a real estate market that showed positive signs of growth in virtually every sector. Median sales prices posted strong double-digit gains on the Eastside along with a healthy 8% rise in Seattle. Listings also rose, easing the strain for buyers grappling with our housing shortage.

If you’ve waited long enough and 2025 is the year for you to make a move, we recommend front loading that decision. Pent up demand (both sellers waiting to sell and buyers waiting to buy) should give us a spring full of blossoming and beautiful inventory. There is less volatility in interest rates than there has been in recent months, you’ll see that the average rate has been rock steady around 6.75% in 2023 and 2024. Overall, this is a great time to buy or sell and I know your real estate professional is excited to help you!

 

Click or scroll down to find your area report:

Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

 

2024 Residential Home Price Appreciation in King County

 


SEATTLE

From a statistical/real estate perspective, the numbers don’t really reflect the overall vibe of the year. In a good way! It’s all positive news: prices are up, listings are up, and market time is down. The City of Seattle is in full recovery mode. Homeowners are awaiting the new density plan and eager to learn what the city has in store for the core neighborhoods around transit. It’s an exciting time. Median sold price city-wide reached a record $945,000 (modest, as that is $5000 above the previous record set in 2022) and homes sold for an average 104% of list price when they attracted a sale in the first 10 days (58% of the total sales).

Lake Forest Park and Madison Park saw the greatest price gains at 11% and 12% respectively. North Seattle was over all the “strongest” with 66% of homes selling in the first 10 days and 70% of homes selling for at or above list price. There was a modest gain in new listings across the board at 8769, while still lower than typical. The ten-year average is around 10,500 listings per year. No bad news here with average price per square foot gains of 5% to $564!

 

Seattle 2024 RecapClick here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

Seattle Metro Annual Market Report

 

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EASTSIDE

Welcome 2025! We (the real estate community) are feeling hopeful and bullish about what’s to come. So far, the numbers year over year support that. When we reviewed 2023 for the Eastside, the only positive statistic reported was Mercer Island’s 2% rise in the number of home sales. Looking at the 2024 report with that perspective it is ALL good news. New listings are up 14% for the year, while the number of sales are up nearly 10%. This is absorption of inventory to be excited about. Prices are up 11% to a record high of $1,600,000!

Woodinville and the area S of I-90 saw the largest price gains at 16% and 14% respectively, likely enjoying the benefits of buyers ‘pushing out’ because of the pressure of affordability in the core neighborhoods. Kirkland and West Bellevue were among the highest total sales and still a strong showing in price gains at 11% and 8%. Even though Bellevue (E of 405) saw the most modest price gains this was arguably the most popular neighborhood with 74% of homes selling in the first 10 days and 71% selling for at or above asking price!

 

Eastside 2024 RecapClick here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

Greater Eastside Annual Market Report

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MERCER ISLAND

2024 was a solid year for Mercer Island: 11% overall price growth, on average 98% list to sales price ratio, and a respectable 32 cumulative days on market. This was a year of calm and confident decisions made by the entire real estate market. Home buyers and sellers alike. Looking to the neighborhoods there were two that stood out in relation to 2023: The Eastside and The Lakes where total sales had massive growth. 26 homeowners (vs 11 in 2023) moved on the Eastside and in the Lakes there were 4 transactions, a whopping change given that there were no sales reported on the MLS in 2023. The Island has not yet reached the peak prices from 2022, but we’re on our way!

Shifting to the condo market, 2024 was a sleepy year. With 47 new listings and 33 sales (both about 20% lower than in 2023), the average list to sales price ratio of 101% surprised us! Total median price is down YOY by about 8%, but with such little data to draw from this number tends to swing more than most. The overall price swing was from $339,000 for a studio to $1,775,000 for a 2 bedroom luxury unit. 19 of the 33 sales were 2 bedroom units. All in all condos on the island are a necessary market segment that we continue to watch closely as an overall indicator of market health.

 

Mercer Island 2024 RecapClick here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

Mercer Island Annual Market Report

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

In reviewing last years’ report, there was so much RED! This year is a refreshing change with some positive numbers sprinkled in. Even the pockets that remain flat feel like good news, after all, a push is a win! Perspective is everything, in life and in real estate. This year was absolutely a bright spot for condos in the last several months. This was due in large part to external factors: affordability issues in single family, perceived ‘high’ interest rates, continued density issues in the ‘burbs, and major employers recall to office. Urban life in both Seattle and on the Eastside are experiencing a renaissance and we’re here for it!

The headline in Seattle is that prices are UP! Downtown saw an increase of 8% to a median price of $650,000. Though, North Seattle carried the day with an eye popping 18% increase in median price. While price per square foot was flat on average, new listings are up 21% YOY. Sellers are dipping their toes back in the market at higher prices (up 5.3%) and seeing moderate success with total sales down 3% (compared to a 26% drop in 2023). Buyers know they have options and will wait to pick off the low hanging fruit: best perceived value for their dollar.

Meanwhile, on the Eastside: prices are up, listings are up, sales are up. A nice headline, but let’s break it down. New listings rose a whopping 34% year over year (which you may remember saw a 23% dip from 2022). Demand was steady with total sales up 15% YOY; we didn’t quite absorb all of the new inventory but that is to be expected. So, even with a relatively high absorption rate prices rose to a record high median of $695,000. The stars of this price gain are, not surprisingly, Kirkland and West Bellevue at 28% and 24% respectively. We can’t wait to see what 2025 will bring!

 

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

Condo Report: Seattle/Eastside Annual Review

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WATERFRONT

The Eastside saw a huge boost in waterfront sales with 50% more sold in 2024 than 2023. Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish posted similar sales gains of 45% and 43% respectively. While Seattle had 2 fewer sales than the year prior, its waterfront homes sold faster than in any other area and fetched higher selling prices as compared to list prices.

The highest waterfront sale was $38,900,000 for an immense 13,590 sq. ft. Medina estate on 117 feet of Lake Washington shoreline. The most modest sale was $1,400,000 for a 1960 Ralph Anderson original on Seattle’s Arroyo Beach.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

 

Waterfront Report: Seattle/Eastside Annual Review

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Windermere Mercer Island

 

Find a Home | Sell Your Home | Property Research

Neighborhoods | Market Reports | Our Team

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com

© Copyright 2025, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Seattle cover photo courtesy of Michael Fleming and Clarity Northwest Photography. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of The Sirianni Group and Clarity Northwest Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Luke Bartlett and Matthew Gallant, Clarity Northwest Photography.

 

Home Seller Tips November 1, 2024

Selling Your Home: 5 Common Myths

Selling your home is a crash course in real estate education. You’ll learn how to work with your real estate agent to find a buyer and sell at the right price. As you prepare to sell, it’s important to remember that that not everything you’ve heard is true. There are several common myths that can lead to costly mistakes in the selling process. Knowing the truth behind them will clarify your selling journey and help you align your expectations…

 

Myth 1: Home Value Calculators Are 100% Accurate

Online Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) are a great starting point for understanding how much your home could be worth. However, they are merely a first step in determining home value; to say they are 100% accurate is a myth. When it comes to pricing your home, you need to rely on your real estate agent’s Comparative Market Analysis (CMA), which uses vast amounts of historical and current data on real estate listings to arrive at an accurate and competitive figure.

To get an estimate of how much your home is worth, try our Home Worth Calculator here:

 

 

Myth 2: Selling FSBO Will Save You Money

Selling a home requires an intimate knowledge of the housing industry and how to solve the complex situations that arise throughout a real estate transaction. Despite this, some sellers will go it alone and attempt to sell their property without being represented by an agent.

Selling For Sale by Owner (FSBO) is a risky proposition. It requires the seller to bear added liability, fills their schedule with various marketing and promotional responsibilities, and can leave money on the table by inaccurately pricing the property, causing it to sit on the market for too long. The potential costs of selling a home on your own far outweigh the compensation real estate agents earn on a home sale.

 

Myth 3: You Must Remodel to Sell Your Home

The question you’ll face when preparing to sell your home is whether to sell as is or remodel. The answer usually lies somewhere in between, but it depends on your situation and what kinds of home upgrades are driving buyer interest locally. When making improvements to your home, lean toward high ROI remodeling projects to get the best bang for your buck, and avoid trendy projects that can delay listing your home. If you’re considering major upscale renovations, talk to your agent about which projects buyers in your area are looking for.

 

Myth 4: Never Accept the First Offer

You’ve likely heard tell that the first buyer’s offer is nothing more than a springboard to up your asking price and to never accept it. In this case, “never” should be approached with caution. In reality, the best offer for your home is one that you and your agent have discussed that aligns with your goals. If a matching offer happens to be the first one that comes your way, so be it. The market can shift at any time, so you never know what may happen if you leave an offer on the table. And if the buyer backs out of the deal, you and your agent will find a path forward.

 

Myth 5: Home Staging Doesn’t Make a Big Difference

Staging your home is so much more than a cosmetic touch-up; it has been proven to help sell homes faster and at a higher price than non-staged homes.1 Staging ensures that your home has universal appeal, which attracts the widest possible pool of potential buyers. When buyers are able to easily imagine living in your home, they become more connected to the property. You should stage your home regardless of your local market conditions, but it can be especially helpful in competitive markets with limited inventory where even the slightest edge can make all the difference for sellers.

Now that you know some of the most common myths in the selling process, get to know its truths. Connect with a local Windermere agent to get the process started:

 

 

1: National Association of REALTORS® – Why Home Staging Inspires the Best Prices in Any Housing Market


 

Windermere Mercer Island

 

Find a Home | Sell Your Home | Property Research

Neighborhoods | Market Reports | Our Team

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com

This article originally appeared on the Windermere Blog, written by: Sandy Dodge.

 

Market Reports October 16, 2024

How’s the Market? Q3 2024 Review of Seattle Area Real Estate

While Q3’s summertime market slowed a bit from the frenetic spring pace of Q2 (we call this the “Summer Slump”), median home values are up across the region compared to this time last year. Most homes still sold at or above their listed prices in the first 10 days on market. However, buyers had more choice with higher inventory levels AND some room to negotiate on price for those homes that stayed on the market past the 10-day mark.

What does this mean for the rest of 2024? We typically see buyer activity decrease as we head into the holidays, and of course, it’s also election season. If you’ve been considering a purchase and are of the mindset that you don’t want to compete, THIS IS YOUR MARKET! For sellers the average days on market in Q3 was 20 for Seattle and 18 for the Eastside. Which means: if your price didn’t attract a buyer in the first two weeks, it’s probably time to re-evaluate. Interest rates are better than they’ve been since mid 2022. Quality inventory is being presented to the market. If you see a great house, be prepared to move quickly. Opportunity Knocks.

 

Click or scroll down to find your area report:

Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

 


SEATTLE

Lots of good news in Seattle during our post-summer glow. Prices are up year over year by 5% to $937,000. While we’re still under the peak median of $1,000,000 set in Q2 of 2022 and $970,000 from last quarter, this is so typical for Q3. We’ve seen it every year from Q2 to Q3 going back to 2018 (except in 2020 largely because the real estate market shut down completely in Q2). Buyers had lots of choice, with more inventory to end the quarter than we’ve had since Q3 of 2022. Even with these buyer bright spots we still saw 56% of homes sell in the first 10 days and 34% over the asking price.

Average price per square foot and median price were in positive territory across the board this quarter in all neighborhoods. Richmond Beach/Shoreline and Madison Park/Capitol Hill both saw larger than typical gains in $/sq.ft. (11%) and median price (10%) respectively. North Seattle appeared to be the “hottest” market around with 64% of homes selling in the first 10 days. Again, really great numbers in Seattle given that Summer Slump was in full effect.

 

Seattle Q3 2024 RecapSeattle is in a Seller's Market Based on Months of Inventory in Q3 2024Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

Seattle Report - Q3 2024

 

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EASTSIDE

The Eastside continues to be the region’s crown jewel of real estate. Median prices are up again year over year by 8%. Most of us felt what we lovingly call the Summer Slump, and the numbers confirmed this. Prices (median) AND transactions were down 6% overall when compared against Q2 of 2024. That’s a $100,000 dip in median sales price if you missed the spring market. This is absolutely typical for the PNW and Metro King County. Seasonally our peak seasons are spring and post Labor Day/pre-holiday. This year that may be disrupted by election distractions. Time will tell if it’s a market lacking in consumer confidence or simply existential distraction.

The micro markets across the Eastside are fairly homogeneous. Among the 8 neighborhoods that we track, the median price swing was 3-11% but all in a positive direction. Total transaction volume is up 18% signaling that eventually life changes will trump a 2.5% interest rate. While homes were mostly selling in the first 10 days, multiple offers/paying over asking price were not the norm. In fact, the split between at, above, and below was relatively even.

 

Eastside Q3 2024 RecapThe Eastside is in a Seller's Market Based on Months of Inventory in Q3 2024Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

Eastside Report - Q3 2024

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MERCER ISLAND

Fall has come for Mercer Island. The summer construction on Island Crest is done, school buses are out en force, and those filtered views that only come out in winter are starting to show. It’s time to look back fondly at the summer real estate market: prices are up YOY by 3% to $2,440,000 to end the quarter. This is likely more about trailing gains from a robust spring than it is about actual gains from Q3, given the indicators. A whopping 40% of homes sold under list price. It took 40% longer than 10 days to sell (not necessarily the same 40%) but only for about a 2% discount. This suggests that seller pricing and buyer motivation are evenly matched. There were 50 active listings at end of quarter, the most since Q2 of 2020 when real estate shut down completely.

Focusing on neighborhoods, The Lakes, Mercerwood, Mercerdale, and Mercer Island Estates saw 100% of homes sell in the first 10 days for an average of 102% of sales price. This goes to show that in any market, despite overall conditions, there will always be “hot homes.” Mid-Island had the most overall activity with 22 of the 68 sales across the Island. These occurred at $865/foot and 16 of the 22 homes sold in the first 10 days for at or above list price.

 

Mercer Island Q3 2024 RecapMercer Island is a Seller's Market Based on Months of Inventory in Q3 2024Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

Mercer Island Report - Q3 2024

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

Once again, we’re rooting for the Seattle condo market as it proves to be the little engine that could! Chugging along toward modest price gains even when the rest of the market seems to be struggling a bit, Seattle condo prices have held steady for the last 6 quarters, with mostly positive change. Eastside condos hit a median price all-time high in Q2 at $709,000. We’re off of that a touch to $690,000 in Q3, to be expected after a beautiful summer. The Eastside ended the quarter with 29% more listings than this time last year and only 13% more sales. Mounting inventory tends to lead to price softening. Overall, nearly 50% of condos sold for at or above their list price!

When you compare the charts in the report, there is admittedly more positive news on the Eastside than in Seattle. Overall, we’re encouraged that despite many neighborhoods experiencing a drop in sales, average price per sq. ft. held flat and median price is up overall. On the Eastside it’s still great news all around for the market, especially in West Bellevue with 26% median sales price gains and total sales up 55%.

Friendly PSA: PLEASE remember that there is a ‘first rung’ of the property ladder. CONDOS create an affordable option to start building wealth at a younger age. It’s an important real estate product that has been overlooked. I am hopeful that enterprising young homeowners return to the condo market in droves this next real estate cycle.

 

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

Condo Report - Q3 2024

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WATERFRONT

While a bit slower compared to last quarter, waterfront sales remained strong in Q3 with 10 on the Eastside and 8 in Seattle. Lake Sammamish moderated in summer with just 5 sales compared to the crazy 15 we saw in spring, while Mercer Island stayed fairly steady with 4 (compared to 6 in spring). The highest sale was nearly $18 million for an immense Wendell Lovett designed 6,920 sq. ft. home on 125 feet of prime “gold coast” waterfront in Medina. The most modest sale was also on the Eastside—an original 1943 cottage on 53 feet of west-facing waterfront in Kennydale.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

 

Waterfront Report - Q3 2024

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Windermere Mercer Island

 

Find a Home | Sell Your Home | Property Research

Neighborhoods | Market Reports | Our Team

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com

© Copyright 2024, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Seattle cover photo courtesy of Kathryn Buchanan and Brandon Larson, Clarity Northwest Photography. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of The Sirianni Group and Clarity Northwest Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Julie Wilson and Bobby Erdt, Clarity Northwest Photography. Waterfront cover photo courtesy of Anni Zilz and Andrew Webb, Clarity Northwest Photography.

Home Buyer TipsHome Seller Tips June 4, 2024

Why Buyer Representation Matters So Much to Sellers

In today’s rapidly changing real estate landscape, understanding the critical role of buyer representation has never been more essential for home sellers. With the pending NAR settlement on the horizon, many sellers may not fully grasp the significant impact these changes will have on their transactions. The urgency to adapt is real, and overlooking the necessity of paying a buyer agent compensation could expose sellers to unforeseen risks.

Currently, home buyers are not allowed to roll their buyer agent compensation into their loan. This means they must bring cash to the table to pay their agent (if the seller is not offering buyer agent compensation).

Unrepresented buyers should be considered more than a minor hiccup—it can lead to a cascade of complications that jeopardize the entire deal. To safeguard your investment and ensure a smooth transaction, it’s crucial to recognize the invaluable support a buyer’s agent provides.

What value does a seller receive if the buyer has professional representation? Let us list the ways:

Lender Connections: Buyer agents connect their buyers with well-vetted (and typically local) lender partners who have proven time and again that they can close a transaction, and on time.

Documentation Management: Buyer agents ensure that buyers have delivered all necessary documentation to the lender to ensure full underwriting.

Market Analysis: Buyer agents provide comparable market analysis reports (CMAs) to help buyers understand the market value of the home and support a reasonable offer price.

Contract Guidance: Buyer agents guide their clients through the purchase and sale agreement, ensuring that they understand the terms and conditions and their ability to fulfill their commitments.

Contingency Explanation: Buyer agents explain all contingencies to buyers, ensuring they understand the risks and rewards, especially when waiving contingencies.

Earnest Money Handling: Buyer agents ensure that earnest money funds are delivered to escrow on time.

Transaction Deadlines: Buyer agents ensure that their client and their lender observe and adhere to all deadlines to keep the transaction flowing smoothly and closing on time.

Inspection Access: Buyer agents provide access to home inspectors and help their buyers understand the reports. This is critical as most MLS associations require an agent to be present whenever a door is opened. If the buyer doesn’t have representation, the listing agent must give access, exposing them to inspection findings and forcing them to disclose on behalf of the seller.

Appraisal Assistance: Buyer agents give access to appraisers and typically provide reports of comparable properties to support the purchase price, ensuring the property appraises at value.

Negotiation Support: If the appraisal report comes in less than the purchase price, the buyer agent will help negotiate and collaborate with the listing agent to ensure a mutual agreement is reached by all parties.

Transaction Coordination: Most importantly, the buyer agent helps keep their client and all parties on track to ensure closing, and crucially, on time.

The value a buyer agent brings to the transaction is indispensable. Their expertise not only facilitates a smoother process but also protects all parties involved from potential pitfalls. By ensuring the buyer has professional representation, sellers can avoid significant risks and secure a successful transaction. In the evolving real estate market, investing in buyer agent compensation is a wise decision that benefits everyone involved.

 

 


 

Windermere Mercer Island

 

Find a Home | Sell Your Home | Property Research

Neighborhoods | Market Reports | Our Team

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com

This article originally appeared on the Windermere blog on 5/29/24 & Inman News on 5/21/24.

Market Reports December 13, 2023

Top 10 Predictions for 2024 Real Estate

Will 2024 be a good year for real estate? This question comes up a LOT, especially from those who are considering buying or selling a home in the near future. Housing economist Matthew Gardner weighed in with his top 10 predictions for what the real estate market will look like in the coming year. Here is what he had to say…

 

1. Still no housing bubble

This was number one on my list last year and, so far, my forecast was spot on. The reason why I’m calling it out again is because the market performed better in 2023 than I expected. Continued price growth, combined with significantly higher mortgage rates, might suggest to some that the market will implode in 2024, but I find this implausible.

 

2. Mortgage rates will drop, but not quickly

The U.S. economy has been remarkably resilient, which has led the Federal Reserve to indicate that they will keep mortgage rates higher for longer to tame inflation. But data shows inflation and the broader economy are starting to slow, which should allow mortgage rates to ease in 2024. That said, I think rates will only fall to around 6% by the end of the year.

 

3. Listing activity will rise modestly

Although I expect a modest increase in listing activity in 2024, many homeowners will be hesitant to sell and lose their current mortgage rate. The latest data shows 80% of mortgaged homeowners in the U.S. have rates at or below 5%. Although they may not be inclined to sell right now, when rates fall to within 1.5% of their current rate, some will be motivated to move.

 

4.Home prices will rise, but not much

While many forecasters said home prices would fall in 2023, that was not the case, as the lack of inventory propped up home values. Given that it’s unlikely that there will be a significant increase in the number of homes for sale, I don’t expect prices to drop in 2024. However, growth will be a very modest 1%, which is the lowest pace seen for many years, but growth all the same.

 

5. Home values in markets that crashed will recover

During the pandemic there were a number of more affordable markets across the country that experienced significant price increases, followed by price declines post-pandemic. I expected home prices in those areas to take longer to recover than the rest of the nation, but I’m surprised by how quickly they have started to grow, with most markets having either matched their historic highs or getting close to it – even in the face of very high borrowing costs. In 2024, I expect prices to match or exceed their 2022 highs in the vast majority of metro areas across the country.

 

6. New construction will gain market share

Although new construction remains tepid, builders are benefiting from the lack of supply in the resale market and are taking a greater share of listings. While this might sound like a positive for builders, it’s coming at a cost through lower list prices and increased incentives such as mortgage rate buy downs. Although material costs have softened, it will remain very hard for builders to deliver enough housing to meet the demand.

 

7. Housing affordability will get worse

With home prices continuing to rise and the pace of borrowing costs far exceeding income growth, affordability will likely erode further in 2024. For affordability to improve, it would require either a significant drop in home values, a significant drop in mortgage rates, a significant increase in household incomes, or some combination of the three. But I’m afraid this is very unlikely. First-time home buyers will be the hardest hit by this continued lack of affordable housing.

 

8. Government needs to continue taking housing seriously

The government has started to take housing and affordability more seriously, with several states already having adopted new land use policies aimed at releasing developable land. In 2024, I hope cities and counties will continue to ease their restrictive land use policies. I also hope they’ll continue to streamline the permitting process and reduce the fees that are charged to builders, as these costs are passed directly onto the home buyer, which further impacts affordability.

 

9. Foreclosure activity won’t impact the market

Many expected that the end of forbearance would bring a veritable tsunami of homes to market, but that didn’t happen. At its peak, almost 1-in-10 homes in America were in the program, but that has fallen to below 1%. That said, foreclosure starts have picked up, but still remain well below pre-pandemic levels. Look for delinquency levels to continue rising in 2024, but they will only be returning to the long-term average and are not a cause for concern.

 

10. Sales will rise but remain the lowest in 15 years

2023 will likely be remembered as the year when home sales were the lowest since the housing bubble burst in 2008. I expect the number of homes for sale to improve modestly in 2024 which, combined with mortgage rates trending lower, should result in about 4.4 million home sales. Ultimately though, demand exceeding supply will mean that sellers will still have the upper hand.

 


 

About Matthew Gardner

Matthew Gardner analyzes and interprets economic data and its impact on the real estate market on both a local and national level. Matthew has over 30 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K.

Matthew also sits on the Washington State Governors Council of Economic Advisors; chairs the Board of Trustees at the Washington Center for Real Estate Research at the University of Washington; and is an Advisory Board Member at the Runstad Center for Real Estate Studies at the University of Washington where he also lectures in real estate economics.

 


Adapted from an article that originally appeared on the Windermere blog December 4th, 2023. Written by: Matthew Gardner.

 

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Find a Home | Sell Your Home | Property Research

Neighborhoods | Market Reports | Our Team

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com